By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Hen Tune of the Day
Brown Thrasher, Powhatan State Park, Powhatan, Virginia, United States. “This hen was singing from the identical perch at 7:00 after I arrived; this recording was made at 10:00. It was nonetheless singing after I left.”
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In Case You May Miss…
LA Palisades Hearth: That is superb.
Trump’s pivot to the Northern Hemisphere.
Extra weirdness with the Vegas Tesla explosion.
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Search for the Helpers
This has occurred to me:
My spouse mentioned some unidentified rando paid for her order at Starbucks (did not see the particular person).
Her: I like when that occurs!Me: ⁇Her: It occurs sometimesMe: No it doesn’t, at the very least to not me or anybody I knowHer: It is a random good deed factor
Chat is that this actual? Do individuals…
— Jon Stokes (@jonst0kes) January 7, 2025
After which I paid it ahead as properly. Readers?
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My electronic mail handle is down by the plant; please ship examples of there (“Helpers” within the topic line). In our more and more determined and fragile neoliberal society, on a regular basis regular incidents and tales of “the communism of on a regular basis life” are what I’m searching for (and never, say, the Crimson Cross in Hawaii, and even the UNWRA in Gaza).
Politics
“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are actually a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
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Trump Transition
“Trump Imagines New Sphere of U.S. Affect Stretching From Panama to Greenland” [Wall Street Journal]. Trump’s presser: “President-elect Donald Trump’s calls to take management of Greenland, Canada and the Panama Canal mirror his fascination with a Twenty first-century model of an previous concept—that nice powers ought to carve out spheres of affect and defend their financial and safety pursuits by imposing their will on smaller neighbors. In a press convention Tuesday, Trump outlined a second-term international coverage agenda that rests not on international alliances and free commerce however on financial coercion and unilateral army would possibly, even towards allies. With the Panama Canal and Greenland, he recommended he may use pressure to take them over. With Canada, he recommended he would hit the U.S.’s northern neighbor with excessive tariffs, leaving it no selection however to undergo annexation. ‘Canada and the USA, that may actually be one thing,’ Trump mentioned. ‘You eliminate that artificially drawn line and also you check out what that appears like and it will even be significantly better for nationwide safety.’ Taking management of Greenland, Canada, and the Panama Canal via army or financial pressure could be a dramatic departure from many years of U.S. international coverage as pursued by presidents of each events.” • This leaves out Mexico, oddly. I’ll have extra in a bit, however at first look, I might speculate that Trump is aware of he’s obtained to feed his rabid canine — the nationwide safety institution — some meat. In any other case, he shall be its meat. The place is the meat to be discovered? Europe? Clearly not; Ukraine is misplaced. The Center East? Letting them kill one another is one factor; boots on the bottom are one other. The pivot to Asia? With what? That leaves — and this may make James Monroe very pleased — the north American hemisphere. Additionally, it might even be that Trump doesn’t wish to get individuals killed, and (modulo Mexico), seizing one vassal’s territory (Greenland), invading Panama (we’ve accomplished it as soon as), and dealing on splitting the Canadian Federation appears lots much less grotesque than a struggle on the Pacific Rim, say. Who is aware of? Might be only a headfake, although Trump did point out Greenland in 2020. Commentary:
If you happen to needed to destroy NATO, essentially the most profitable alliance in human historical past , threatening to invade 2 of your allies could be a great way to begin.
— Michael McFaul (@McFaul) January 8, 2025
[TRUMP, thinking]: “McFaul says “destroy NATO like that’s a nasty factor. They don’t pay their payments, do they?”]
“To Keep away from Combating Giant Conflicts Trump Is Creating Smaller Ones” [Moon of Alabama]. Trump’s presser: “Trump has thereby rejected the three potential conflicts, with Russia, China and Iran, that have been lengthy main the headlines. He probably perceives that there’s nothing to win in these. However as he has to supply some fodder for the media in addition to for his MAGA followers he’s as a substitute developing with new conflicts which could even transform winnable.” See above; I agree that the media and MAGA want “fodder,” however I feel the nationwide safety institution — The Blob — wants “fodder” most of all. Extra: “It reminds of Ronald Reagan who created minor conflicts, like in Grenada, to be free to make offers with the Soviet ‘evil empire’ Union…. Trump desires to keep away from the bigger potential conflicts as they’re too troublesome to handle and win. He’s as a substitute creating his personal small conflicts proper subsequent to the U.S. yard. It’s a good trick and it might even see some success.” • I don’t love Trump, and I didn’t like Reagan both. However at the very least Reagan didn’t get right into a proxy struggle with a nuclear energy.
Helpful map:
Welcome to The Gulf Of America 🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/FVLo03SHJL
— Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) January 7, 2025
To be honest, neither I nor b give an account of the place an invasion of Mexico matches into this image (see Nick’s helpful publish right here). Right here, I might speculate that Trump has to “large stick” someone for credibility’s sake, and Mexican Drug Lords are an unsympathetic goal. A correct invasion of Mexico would seem like the Philippine-American Conflict of 1898. Or Vietnam. Little question there are many Blobbists who would take pleasure in that, however I don’t assume Trump must throw them meat…
“Fetterman compares Trump’s Greenland discuss to Louisiana Buy” [The Hill]. “‘There’s lots of discuss Greenland, for instance, and … there’s lots of freak-outs and naturally, I might by no means assist taking it by pressure,’ Fetterman mentioned. He continued, noting it will be a ‘accountable dialog’ to debate acquisition, together with ‘simply shopping for it out.’ ‘If anybody thinks that’s bonkers, it’s like, properly, keep in mind the Louisiana Buy?’ Fetterman mentioned.” • Is he mistaken?
The tech bro angle:
2/ It is a reply to Dryden’s publish (above). Be aware Dryden’s response. pic.twitter.com/0Fo5P8J9Mq
— JennyCohn ✍🏻 📢 (@jennycohn1) January 8, 2025
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O Canada! I shouldn’t actually publish this…
pic.twitter.com/FJ8KeGRhFA
— Jared (@Nsfwacct739014) January 7, 2025
… however body 4 made me snort out loud (although is there some native shade I ought to concentrate on right here? Canadian readers?)
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“Donald Trump shares video of Jeffrey Sachs accusing Benjamin Netanyahu of warmongering” [JFeed]. Definitely not on my Bingo card! And: “Trump’s resolution to publish this video, assuming he listening to the video fairly than simply studying the textual content, which makes no point out of Netanyahu, factors to some probably severe tensions between Israel and the incoming administration relating to whether or not or to not use army pressure towards Iran for concern it will result in a normal struggle.” • Or possibly it’s easier. Maybe “By no means sh*t a sh*tter” is a motto Trump is aware of and believes. Anyhow, right here’s Trump’s publish from Fact Social:
Trump simply reposted a video explaining that the wars in Iraq and Syria have been manufactured by Netanyahu and had nothing to do with democracy. “Netanyahu continues to be attempting to get us to battle Iran to at the present time. He’s a deep darkish son of a bitch as a result of he is gotten us into countless wars” pic.twitter.com/VfiI2UPD8p
— Talha Ahmad (@talhaahmad967) January 8, 2025
Haaretz, although later, has the higher headline–
“‘A Deep, Darkish Son of a Bitch’: Trump Posts Video of Historian Criticizing Netanyahu” [Haaretz]. ” U.S. President-elect Donald Trump shared a video of contentious economics professor Jeffrey Sachs describing Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as “a deep, darkish son of a bitch” liable for orchestrating U.S. international coverage within the Center East. Trump’s sharing of the video on Fact Social highlights the President-elect’s questionable sources of knowledge on coverage issues and his position in amplifying contentious historic interpretations through his unprecedented platform.” • What an idiotic remark by Haaretz, throwing Jeffrey Sachs into the “questionable sources of knowledge” bucket, code for anti-semitic, although Haaretz depart it to others to unpack the code: “Sachs, an outspoken critic of the Israeli authorities, not too long ago earned criticism from senior Israeli officers like Diaspora Affairs Minister, Amichai Chikli, following his look on the Tucker Carlson Present. Chikli implied that Sachs was a part of a visitor roster together with ‘fringe Holocaust deniers, conspiracy theorists, and blood libel lovers who oppose the State of Israel.’” Chikli is an actual piece of labor.
Lawfare
“Justice Division says it plans to launch solely a part of particular counsel’s Trump report for now” [Associated Press]. “The Justice Division mentioned Wednesday that it intends to launch particular counsel Jack Smith’s findings on Donald Trump’s efforts to undo the outcomes of the 2020 presidential election however will hold below wraps for now the remainder of the report targeted on the president-elect’s hoarding of labeled paperwork at his Mar-a-Lago property… The announcement lessens the chance that the report on the labeled paperwork investigation, which of all inquiries towards Trump had as soon as appeared to hold the best authorized menace, would ever be launched on condition that the Trump Justice Division nearly actually won’t make the doc public even after the case towards Nauta and De Oliveira is resolved.” And the norms: “Smith’s crew deserted each circumstances in November after Trump’s presidential victory, citing Justice Division coverage that prohibits the federal prosecutions of sitting presidents. Justice Division rules name for particular counsels appointed by the lawyer normal to submit a confidential report on the conclusion of their investigations. It’s then as much as the lawyer normal to determine what to make public.”
Democrats en déshabillé
Another reason to hate the Democrats:
It is more and more troublesome to assert that the Democratic Get together is merely incompetent and never actively malevolent. pic.twitter.com/0G4YvkNfN1
— Holding Dems Accountable (From the Left!) (@PushBidenLeft) January 7, 2025
Khanna is mistaken, absurdly mistaken. That is in no sense an “unforced error” by Democrats (who, as Thomas Frank reminds us in Hear, Liberal!, hate the working class). As a substitute, it’s elegant and profitable maneuvering to evade accountability, fairly like ObamaCare writ small. Sirota feedback:
So…Kamala Harris coulda damaged the tie on the NLRB vote, however she wasn’t there to forged the vote, and her brother-in-law is the chief counsel of Uber, which has tangled with the NLRB. https://t.co/CwYJlnedeo
— David Sirota (@davidsirota) January 8, 2025
Realignment and Legitimacy
About Shawn Ryan, the “whistleblower” who launched Livelsberger’s electronic mail manifesto:
Shot:
The one fraud right here is you @SebGorka FBI has confirmed the e-mail despatched to my podcast was from Matthew Livelsberger.
Girls and Gentleman I current you together with your new “Director of Counter Terrorism” who appears to lack discernment. https://t.co/LIdmcEfOgn pic.twitter.com/96AiIcjnes
— Shawn Ryan (@ShawnRyan762) January 7, 2025
Chaser:
Shawn Ryan is a cia contractor pic.twitter.com/ByGonJ05Yd
— Dr.Ahmed A.,MD,ABPsych (@Ah_Magus) January 8, 2025
Saying “the FBI confirmed…” is lots like saying “A Ukrainian spokesman confirmed….”
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“Nation’s anger at insurance coverage ‘injustice’” [China Daily]. “[Rosemary:] “‘My era has mentioned about not simply what violence appears like when someone comes up at you with a gun and shoots you, however extra about financial violence. If you happen to’re dying by the hands of someone else in line with an organization coverage, that doesn’t make it any much less violent,’ she mentioned.” • Curiously, I can’t discover the “Rosemary” quote anyplace.
Syndemics
“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
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Covid Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Normal Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be happy to contact me on the handle given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater stories); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (wastewater); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, KidDoc, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, thump, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep protected on the market!
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TABLE 1: Each day Covid Charts
Wastewater
This week[1] CDC December 30
Final week[2] CDC (till subsequent week):
Variants [3] CDC December 21
Emergency Room Visits[4] CDC December 28
Hospitalization
★ New York[5] New York State, information January 7:
Nationwide [6] CDC Janurary 2, 2005:
Positivity
Nationwide[7] Walgreens January 6:
Ohio[8] Cleveland Clinic January 4:
Vacationers Knowledge
Positivity[9] CDC December 16:
Variants[10] CDC December 16
Deaths
Weekly Deaths vs. % Positivity [11] CDC November 20:
Weekly Deaths vs. ED Visits [12] CDC November 20:
LEGEND
1) ★ for charts new at present; all others are usually not up to date.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution picture, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Home windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open picture in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] (CDC) Seeing extra crimson and extra orange, however nothing new at main hubs.
[2] (CDC) Final week’s wastewater map.
[3] (CDC Variants) XEC takes over. That WHO label, “Ommicron,” has accomplished an important job normalizing successive waves of an infection.
[4] (ED) A little bit uptick.
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Undoubtedly jumped.
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). Leveling out.
[7] (Walgreens) Leveling out.
[8] (Cleveland) Continued upward development since, properly, Thanksgiving.
[9] (Vacationers: Positivity) Leveling out.
[10] (Vacationers: Variants). Positivity is new, however variants haven’t but been launched.
[11] Deaths low, positivity leveling out.
[12] Deaths low, ED leveling out.
Stats Watch
Employment scenario: “United States Preliminary Jobless Claims” [Trading Economics]. “Preliminary jobless claims within the US decreased by 10,000 from the earlier week to 201,000 within the week ending January 4, the bottom in eleven months and contrasting with the anticipated enhance to 218,000.”
Car Gross sales: “United States Whole Car Gross sales” [Trading Economics]. “Whole Car Gross sales in the USA elevated to 16.80 Million in December from 16.65 Million in November of 2024.”
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Manufacturing: “Checks discover no points with Boeing 737-800 jets in S’pore after deadly Jeju Air crash” [Straits Times]. “Checks by the Singapore authorities within the wake of the lethal Jeju Air crash in December have discovered no anomalies or reliability points within the fleet of Boeing 737-800 plane right here, mentioned Transport Minister Chee Hong Tat on Jan 8. This is similar plane mannequin because the aircraft that smashed right into a concrete construction housing navigational gear on the finish of a runway at Muan Worldwide Airport in South Korea, on Dec 29, 2024, killing 179 individuals on board.”
Manufacturing: “Problematic components found in a number of Boeing passenger planes” [KING5]. “On Wednesday, inner Boeing sources informed KING 5 there was a slowdown in Renton’s 737-MAX meeting line due to faulty electrical junction packing containers. Government Director of Boeing’s engineering union Ray Goforth confirmed in an announcement that there was an issue with the junction packing containers and it slowed or stopped manufacturing. Nevertheless, he was unaware of how vital the slowdown was. The MAX passenger aircraft has miles {of electrical} wiring and whereas it’s unclear which junction field is impacted, Aviation Knowledgeable John Nance mentioned fixing the issue is crucial. ‘If it’s a generic scenario with various these packing containers being discovered to be lower than they need to then it needs to be addressed, there’s no query about it,’ mentioned Nance. Boeing describes the gadgets as non-conforming elements and mentioned regardless of this drawback, manufacturing continues within the Renton manufacturing facility.”
Tech: “The AI hype bubble is the brand new crypto hype bubble” [Cory Doctorow, Pluralistic]. “As [Emily M Bender, a computational linguistics specialist at UW] says, we’ve made ‘machines that may mindlessly generate textual content, however we haven’t discovered how you can cease imagining the thoughts behind it.’ One potential tonic towards this fallacy is to observe an Italian MP’s suggestion and exchange ‘AI’ with ‘SALAMI’ (‘Systematic Approaches to Studying Algorithms and Machine Inferences’). It’s lots simpler to maintain a transparent head when somebody asks you, ‘Is that this SALAMI clever? Can this SALAMI write a novel? Does this SALAMI deserve human rights?’ Bender’s most well-known contribution is the ‘stochastic parrot,’ a assemble that ‘simply probabilistically spits out phrases.’ AI bros like Altman love the stochastic parrot, and are hellbent on decreasing human beings to stochastic parrots, which is able to enable them to declare that their chatbots have feature-parity with human beings. On the similar time, Altman and Co are unusually afraid of their creations. It’s attainable that that is only a shuck: ‘I’ve made one thing so highly effective that it may destroy humanity! Fortunately, I’m a clever steward of this factor, so it’s superb. However boy, it positive is highly effective!’” • That is lengthy, and enjoyable, and value a learn, however I don’t assume it lives as much as the headline.
Tech: Khan is so fearless:
FTC Chair Khan discussing Meta’s rollback on fact-checking: Calls out the issue with a “single firm or single government” making choices about everybody’s speech as a market concern and warns of “sweetheart offers” by execs w/ Trump, particularly forward of Meta’s antitrust case pic.twitter.com/LXKQt1OWYN
— Zamaan Qureshi (@zamaan_qureshi) January 7, 2025
Little question the Democrats will discover a solution to bury her.
Tech: Enshittification proceeds apace:
It’s totally insane to me that waivers of the fitting to a jury trial and the fitting to take part in a category motion haven’t been banned already. https://t.co/DBg1KmLWEF
— Basel Musharbash (@musharbash_b) January 7, 2025
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Right now’s Worry & Greed Index: 33 Worry (earlier shut: 35 Worry) [CNN]. One week in the past: 27 (Worry). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed).
Gallery
I’m wondering why the entrance web page doesn’t have the look of print:
Want Dehau Studying a Newspaper within the Backyard #artbots #lautrec pic.twitter.com/cUB37XRBZN
— Toulouse-Lautrec (@artistlautrec) January 4, 2025
Now and again I buy a (paper) Monetary Occasions and luxuriate in studying it. The expertise is much, far superior to something on-line, and the format of the pages — one thing we’ve had centuries of expertise doing, in spite of everything — strikes the attention to serendipitous encounters in a method that the net doesn’t.
Zeitgeist Watch
Yikes (1):
Palisades Hearth from a flight arriving at LAX.
Credit score: Mark Viniello pic.twitter.com/tN31WP5CFI
— Nahel Belgherze (@WxNB_) January 8, 2025
Yikes (2):
INFERNO: Terrifying new footage reveals two males and a canine trapped of their dwelling, as large flames encompass them.#PalisadeFire pic.twitter.com/N2VomUGURY
— Frum TikTok (@FrumTikTok) January 8, 2025
If the fireplace makes it down off the mountain:
When houses are densely packed in alignment with the course of robust fire-season winds, it’s practically nearly inconceivable to chop sufficient brush to make the houses defensible. Hearth burns from home to deal with, not a ‘brush fireplace’.A neighborhood within the path of #PallisadesFire. 1/4 pic.twitter.com/FrATUA37eH
— Zeke Lunder ~ The Lookout (@wildland_zko) January 7, 2025
Not a car parking zone:
LAFD is utilizing a BULLDOZER to clear deserted vehicles off Palisades Drive. Unreal. #PalisadesFire pic.twitter.com/sM93Zud3q9
— Scott Murphy (@ScottMurphyInLA) January 7, 2025
My first thought is that folks took their automotive keys with them, so their vehicles couldn’t be moved, therefore the bulldozer; however possibly there are not any automotive keys anymore, simply plastic fobs that may soften within the warmth. Readers? (Reveals you the way a lot I drive, or am pushed.)
The sharing financial system does its half:
To make clear, I known as Airbnb to request assist with rebooking lodging farther from the hazard zone. As all the time, their insurance policies didn’t account for context. The fires hold getting worse, and sadly, many others are in all probability caught explaining bushfires to somebody in…
— Ana Mostarac (@anammostarac) January 8, 2025
Class warfare:
Pondering of the a whole bunch of incarcerated firefighters placing their our bodies on the entrance traces of this Palisades fireplace and getting paid round $5 a day. pic.twitter.com/WvFwFXQhGq
— Zara Rahim (@ZaraRahim) January 8, 2025
Blast from the previous:
Kamala Harris herself argued towards releasing low-risk individuals from jail as a result of, she mentioned, it will cut back the firefighter workforce. (The one individuals eligible are mainly people who find themselves so low-risk they need to be going dwelling.) https://t.co/AO1MobbFGy
— Jessica Pishko (@JessPish) November 18, 2024
Simply in case anyone thinks Democrats don’t hate the working class.
Class Warfare
“Ski patrollers attain deal to finish strike at Utah’s Park Metropolis Mountain Resort” [Associated Press]. “Ski patrollers on the greatest U.S. ski resort have reached a cope with Utah’s Park Metropolis Mountain Resort to finish a strike that put a wrench in operations throughout the busy vacation season and into the brand new 12 months. A joint assertion launched by the chief board of the ski patrollers’ union mentioned a vote was scheduled for Wednesday on an settlement ‘that addresses each events’ pursuits and can finish the present strike. Everybody appears ahead to restoring regular resort operations and transferring ahead collectively as one crew,’ it mentioned. The deal would run via April 2027. No different particulars about it have been launched. About 200 ski patrollers went on strike on Dec. 27 over wages they mentioned have been too low for prime residing prices.”
Information of the Wired
“The Evaporative Cooling Impact in Social Community” [Bumblebee Labs]. From the Summary: “The Evaporative Cooling Impact describes the phenomenon that prime worth contributors depart a group as a result of they can not achieve one thing from it, which results in the lower of the standard of the group. Because the individuals almost certainly to hitch a group are these whose high quality is beneath the typical high quality of the group, these newcomers are very prone to hurt the standard of the group. With the enlargement of group, it is rather arduous to keep up the standard of the group.” • Hmm.
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Contact data for crops: Readers, be happy to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a examine if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me photographs of crops. Greens are superb! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you’d like your deal with to look as a credit score, please place it initially of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize by utilizing your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From SV:
SV writes: “Even a nearsighted Squirrel finds a pumpkin occasionally.”
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